Sunday, September 2, 2012

First bands EA version

I wrote the channel based expert advisor using the Bolinger bands indicator as the channel. The first results were good in one week and still the same problem. It's not robust.
The idea works in one week, and in the next it fails.
I changed my trading idea and played with it using the Bolinger bands as the channel itself.
I performed a back test of 25 days and it looks good.

Strategy Tester Report
Bands_v2
OANDA-MT4 Practice (Build 432)


SymbolAUDUSD (Australian Dollar vs US Dollar)
Period15 Minutes (M15) 2012.08.01 00:00 - 2012.08.24 16:45 (2012.08.01 - 2012.08.25)
ModelEvery tick (the most precise method based on all available least timeframes)
Bars in test2710Ticks modelled221514Modelling quality90.00%
Mismatched charts errors0
Initial deposit10000.00
Total net profit1417.80Gross profit1950.00Gross loss-532.20
Profit factor3.66Expected payoff27.80
Absolute drawdown176.60Maximal drawdown437.90 (4.27%)Relative drawdown4.27% (437.90)
Total trades51Short positions (won %)48 (77.08%)Long positions (won %)3 (66.67%)
Profit trades (% of total)39 (76.47%)Loss trades (% of total)12 (23.53%)
Largestprofit trade50.00loss trade-67.10
Averageprofit trade50.00loss trade-44.35
Maximumconsecutive wins (profit in money)18 (900.00)consecutive losses (loss in money)5 (-242.30)
Maximalconsecutive profit (count of wins)900.00 (18)consecutive loss (count of losses)-242.30 (5)
Averageconsecutive wins8consecutive losses2


Pros:

  • High profit factor - 3.66
Cons:
  • Low volume - around 3 days per day
TODO:
  • Add money management (right now it trades with a fixed amount of lots per trade)
  • Think of a smarter target picking (right now it's fixed take profit)
  • Test it with other periods - robustness check
  • Try lower time frames
  • Optimizations

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